Miles Deutscher (631,000 followers on X) believes the crypto market is approaching a confluence of catalysts it has never enjoyed at this scale. In a thread posted on X in the early hours of August 12, the analyst wrote, “The stage is set for crypto’s biggest bull run ever,” arguing that the industry is facing “a bullish set of tailwinds/rate of change” unmatched in prior cycles. He then laid out ten drivers—spanning spot ETF demand, retirement-account access, stablecoin policy, political signaling, institutional adoption and market structure—that, taken together, form a cohesive case for another leg higher.
Biggest Crypto Bull Run In History
Deutscher’s starting point is hard flows. He notes that US spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have amassed “$17B net over the last 60 days (> $11B in July alone).” Whether measured against the asset class’s historical market depth or the post-launch settling period for the new Ether funds, those figures imply that passive, rules-based demand is still expanding rather than plateauing. In his framing, this is “bidding on an unprecedented scale,” the sort of sustained, price-insensitive intake that tends to reset valuation anchors and absorbs episodic selling.
The thread then pivots to distribution. Deutscher highlights the recent move to allow 401(k) plans to hold crypto, calling it a “massive new pool of buyers (trillions),” even while acknowledging the implementation lag. He amplifies a scenario analysis from @thepfund (Trader T), who estimates that, under base-case assumptions, the policy shift could translate to “Total estimated demand for crypto: $131–465 billion,” with an “88% allocated to Bitcoin: $115–409 billion … [and] 12% allocated to Ethereum: $16–56 billion.”
The same post posits that “IBIT could grow 3.1× to $272 billion” and “ETHA could grow 3.3× to $37 billion,” using BlackRock’s footprint in 401(k) assets as a proxy for potential uptake. The precise pace will hinge on plan-by-plan approvals and compliance plumbing, but the directionality—retirement wrappers as a mainstream bridge—is clear in Deutscher’s thesis.
Regulatory clarity for the transactional layer is his third pillar. “The genius act was approved,” he wrote, arguing that the measure provides more certainty around stablecoins and “opens up the floodgates for blockchain/stablecoin adoption.” He pairs that claim with a datapoint on the monetary base of the crypto economy itself: “Stablecoins just hit a fresh ATH (> $280B cap), 22 months up straight.”
In other words, not only is policy becoming more permissive for dollar-on-chain infrastructure, but the float of tokenized dollars and near-dollars—an essential conduit for liquidity, market-making and cross-border transfers—has been expanding for almost two years without interruption. For Deutscher, those two facts rhyme: clearer rules plus a growing dollar stack create the conditions for higher throughput and, ultimately, risk appetite downstream.
Politics, while usually orthogonal to day-to-day price action, appears in his list because the signaling has become unusually overt. “The Trump family is actively shilling ETH/crypto/tokenisation,” he wrote, framing the public posture as a visibility event for the asset class. He amplified a short post from Eric Trump—“It puts a smile on my face to see ETH shorts get smoked today. Stop betting against BTC and ETH — you will be run over.”—to argue that high-level endorsements are now part of the narrative gravity well.
More Catalysts For Crypto
Institutional adoption remains a core motif. Deutscher cites an SEC ownership disclosure flagged by @MacroScope17 indicating that Harvard Management Company reported a new position of 1,906,000 shares of IBIT, BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, valued at $116.6 million as of June 30. “This is a hugely important ownership disclosure,” MacroScope wrote, and Deutscher agrees on the signal value: a storied university endowment has chosen to use the ETF channel to gain exposure, validating the wrapper and, by extension, the compliance pathway for peers. Inflows data are one thing; a recognizable allocator of record is another.
Momentum and market behavior fill out the tactical half of his list. He points to Ethereum reclaiming $4,000—a multi-year level that, in his view, “gives it real momentum to push back toward (and beyond) its 2021 ATH.” He also argues that both majors have shown resilience—“BTC & ETH refuse to break down, even with heavy FUD”—which he reads as evidence of “seller exhaustion” meeting “sticky demand.”
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To underscore that take, he references @alpha_pls (Aylo), who urged traders to zoom out: “ETH/BTC has a lot of room to run and looks good on HTFs. ETH/USD looks good and it is going to break through that $4k level eventually… Ultimately, you can keep it simple: there are more buyers than sellers for the foreseeable future.” Aylo’s post also nods to potential treasury participation on the Ether side—“Tom Lee has told you his company will buy 5% of the ETH supply”—and to co-founder Joseph Lubin’s competitive posture, adding further narrative fuel to a majors-led phase.
The rotation question—when and whether “altseason” reappears—features in Deutscher’s ninth and tenth points. “BTC dominance looks extremely weak, for the first time since 2024,” he wrote, framing that deterioration as a historical precursor to capital rotating down the risk curve. But he is specific about sequencing: liquidity, he says, is “more concentrated on majors/CEX, making the BTC/ETH trend cleaner,” which is “important for narrative alignment at this stage in cycle.”
In contrast to late 2024, when he argues liquidity was “concentrated in the ‘trenches’—creating a less sustainable setup,” the current structure favors a strong, durable majors trend first, with healthier conditions “for an alt rotation to happen later.” Overall, Deutscher is describing a market where depth and settlement rails have thickened at the top, reducing slippage and volatility while the bid forms, before breadth expands.
In his words, “The stage is set,” and if the catalysts he enumerates continue to materialize in tandem, he believes the next “explosive price move” has already begun to load.
At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.93 trillion.
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