TRON Defies Market Dip as USDT Activity and Drawdown Metric Signal Growth

Estimated read time 3 min read

While the broader crypto market experienced a downturn with a 2.7% decline in total market cap over the past 24 hours, TRON (TRX) managed to move in the opposite direction. TRX recorded a 0.6% gain during the same timeframe, bringing its current trading price to $0.2788.

Zooming out to a weekly view, TRON has posted a 2.4% increase, standing out among major assets amid an otherwise lukewarm market. This movement has caught the attention of on-chain analysts tracking deeper signals in the TRON ecosystem.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, TRON’s long-term price behavior reveals increasing resilience and a diminishing susceptibility to extreme volatility.

Reduced Drawdowns Point to Market Maturity

In a recent post titled “TRX Drawdowns Highlight Growing Resilience,” Darkfost shared drawdown analysis as evidence that TRON has become structurally more stable over time.

He explained that drawdown metrics, which measure the peak-to-trough decline in an asset’s price, can serve as a reliable tool for identifying strategic market entry points.

TRON (TRX) drawdown metric.

Darkfost highlighted four major TRX drawdown periods since 2020: a 61% drop in March 2020, a 70% fall in June 2021, a 55% decline in January 2022, and a 40% decrease in January 2025. Each of these correction phases was followed by significant recoveries.

However, the drawdown depth has consistently decreased with each cycle, a development the analyst interprets as a sign of increasing investor confidence and capital retention in the TRON network.

“With TRX now trading around $0.27, each of these drawdowns has proven to be profitable in hindsight,” Darkfost noted. He added that the trend suggests that TRON is evolving into a more stable asset class with stronger market positioning.

Contributing to this stability is the ongoing flow of capital and growing ecosystem usage, particularly for stablecoin transactions. TRON has become a dominant layer for Tether (USDT) transfers, and data from CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn supports this view.

TRON Surpasses Ethereum in Stablecoin Settlement

In a separate post, Maartunn reported that TRON processed a record $23.4 billion in daily USDT transfers on June 25, 2025, an all-time high for the network. This figure significantly surpasses the $9.9 billion handled by Ethereum on the same day, highlighting the divergence between the two blockchains.

USDT transaction on Ethereum and TRON network.

Maartunn pointed out that TRON has outperformed Ethereum in USDT transfer volume since mid-2022, noting that the gap between the two networks continues to widen. “The chart doesn’t just show a record; it highlights the growing gap between TRON and Ethereum,” he wrote.

While Ethereum’s USDT activity has declined roughly 39% since its November 2024 peak, TRON remains in an upward trend. This transition signals a growing role for TRON as the main settlement layer for Tether transactions, while Ethereum appears to be shifting toward other use cases.

TRON (TRX) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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